Informal Statistical Study (Part II):
Roman Catholic Archdiocese of
Boston
Stan and Eileen Doherty (EileenAndStan@comcast.net)
08/17/2004

Greetings in Christ!

In February 2004 we released Part I of this three-part, informal statistical study. In Part I we focused on the state of parishes in the Roman Catholic Archdiocese of Boston before the 2004 closings. In this report (Part II) we focus statistically on the parish closings themselves. In Part III (Fall 2004) we will focus on the effects of the closures on the people of the Archdiocese and, indirectly, on Catholics in other dioceses preparing for the "Boston model" of parish reconfiguration.

Contents


A.

Executive Summary

B.

Background

C.

Parish Suppressions and the RCAB Organization

D.

Parish Suppressions and Massachusetts Communities

E.

Parish Suppressions and the Ordained Community

F.

Parish Suppressions and the Lay Community

G.

RCAB Parish Futures

H.

Trends Under Investigation

I.

What Have We Learned?

J.

Conclusion

  Appendix 1 -- List of RCAB Parishes Suppressed in 2004
  Appendix 2 -- Sample Line Charts of Sacramental Indexes Within Vicariates
  Appendix 3 -- Messages on Parish Closing Protest Signs

A. Executive Summary

The 2004 "Parish Reconfiguration" in the Roman Catholic Archdiocese of Boston (hereafter RCAB) is unprecedented in the American Church for four reasons:

The Archbishop has deliberately chosen the canonical procedure of suppression rather than that of merger. There are many reasons for this choice. As you probably already know, when there is a merger of two or more parishes the assets and liabilities of the parishes belong to the new parish that is formed from the merger, whereas when there is a suppression, the assets and liabilities of the parish that is suppressed or closed belong to the Archdiocese of Boston. The archbishop has chosen this approach [suppression] so that many issues may be addressed. First, let me say again none of the assets from suppressed parishes will be used to fund clergy sexual abuse cases. . . . The proceeds from the assets of suppressed parishes will provide monies due employees of suppressed parishes for past work and separation assistance, for vendors who are owed monies from suppressed parishes, for amounts for past employee benefits and parish insurances due from suppressed parishes, for run out costs of health insurance for separated employees, for covering unfunded pension liability for employees of suppressed parishes, for repayment of revolving loans from suppressed parishes, for expenses involved in the closure of suppressed parishes, for assistance to parishes that are unable to fund needed church repairs, for expenses for providing current support services to parishes, for establishing an endowment fund for parish support for those parishes that cannot be self-supporting, for recapitalizing the Revolving Loan Fund, and I am sure there are other needs that I have not yet thought of which will benefit from the assets of suppressed parishes. (RCAB)

 

What did they decide?

The Archdiocese has made all its decisions. Here's what they decided and when.

Date

Regions Affected

Scope of decisions

Dec 16, 2003

 

Parish Reconfiguration Initiative announced.

March 2003

 

Parish clusters submit recommendations for closure and the Archdiocese announces that decisions on parish closings will be announced in late May.

May 25

All but Lowell/Lawrence

68 suppressions and two mergers announced.

July

Lowell

4 suppressions communicated to pastors, no announcement from RCAB.

August

Lowell/Lawrence

5 suppressions and 2 mergers communicated to pastors and announced by the Archdiocese.

What motivated their decisions?

As you might imagine, there were many diocesan decision makers involved in the decision-making process. To the extent that deliberations were not public, we can only evaluate the results of their decisions statistically in order to reverse engineer their selection criteria and priorities. As best we can infer from the data, the Archdiocese had four priorities:

  1. Convert real estate equity (parish properties) into capital and centralize control of that capital. Of the many options open to the Archdiocese, only near-universal suppression of parishes would generate significant cash in a relatively short period of time. Because it was their first and most important decision, we rank it as their highest priority. Recent estimates by the Boston Globe put the value of the first 68 suppressions at $450,000,000 or more. Assuming that the other suppressions would net another $30,000,000 (at least), RCAB stands to clear nearly a 1/2 billion dollars. Suppressed church properties in some of the more affluent Massachusetts towns have real estate values estimated at $3-11,000,00. Archbishop O'Malley mentioned the need for capital in his announcements of the reconfiguration process and the first round of closings. He said, "Through recapitalizing and reallocating resources, more funds can be used for increasing social service programs and strengthening remaining parishes and schools and enhancing evangelization" (RCAB). Perhaps on a related note, The Boston Pilot recently reported that the Vatican was running in the red (deficit spending) for the third year in a row. It too needs money.
  2. Maintain a Catholic parish in every Massachusetts town. 137 towns in the Archdiocese have one or more Catholic churches. 73 of these towns (53%) have only one Catholic church. Of these 73 towns, only 4 (5.5%) were suppressed . . . and the buildings of those 4 suppressed parishes have been designated as worship sites for weekends. 69 of the 73 one-parish towns, therefore, had their sole parish preserved. If strong attendance and high sacramental indexes were high-priority criteria, then many of these 69 parishes in one-parish towns should have been candidates for suppression. Because the Archdiocese prioritized location over pastoral statistics, we conclude that maintaining at least one parish in every town was a high priority.
  3. Reinforce clerical administration of parishes. The Archdiocese of Boston has not, historically, embraced the notion of parishes administered by ordained permanent deacons or unordained laypeople. Rather than considering alternative forms of lay-administered parishes common in other parts of US, the Archdiocese has embarked on a shrink-to-fit policy, i.e. the number of parishes in the Archdiocese will be reduced (shrunk) to fit the dwindling number of available pastors. This commitment to a 1:1 ratio of ordained priests (pastors) to parishes highlights the Arhdiocese's commitment to maintaining a 100% clerical administration.
  4. Normalize parish infrastructure: Because RCAB parishes before the 2004 suppressions were responsible for supporting only as many services and staff people as they could individually afford, there was variation between parishes in parish services and levels of staffing. Two parishes situated within a mile of one another could differ greatly in the programs, both local and Archdiocesan, that they could support. The 2004 suppressions create two opportunities for the Archdiocese. First, the suppression of 77 parishes creates a financial windfall for the Archdiocese. It will have the cash to create new programs and to staff new programs wherever it wants. If the Archdiocese wants to create vigorous seminary recruitment programs, it can fund as many youth ministers as it needs. Second, the suppression of 77 parishes creates a surplus of trained, competent lay staff people. If surviving parishes are interested in staffing up or in replacing people currently on their payrolls, they have a pool of talent to choose from. RCAB will be able to use its newfound monetary and staffing superfunds to equalize the number of services and staff people assigned to parishes. As the degree of consistency in parish infrastructure increases, the predictability and efficiency of parish programs should increase proportionately ... at least that's the theory. We will examine this statistically in Part III of our report this fall.

Let's set the stage and do the numbers.

To Table of Contents

B. Background

Why do this study?

Two reasons:

  1. Administrative accountability: Catholic dioceses are not for-profit corporations with executives and boards of directors bound by law to deliver detailed and understandable reports to shareholders. Catholic dioceses are not-for-profit corporations responsible for balancing the requirements of their apostolic mission with the administrative requirements of running multi-billion-dollar organizations. Having this dual mission --- spiritual and administrative -- does not exempt dioceses from being accountable. Spiritually, the Archdiocese needs to create public forums occasionally at which it asks the faithful, "How are we doing?" Administratively, the Archdiocese needs to be as transparent in its business dealings and decision-making as is required to maintain the trust and confidence of the faithful. If the Archdiocese of Boston considered itself accountable to the faithful of the Archdiocese for its dual spiritual-administrative decisions to suppress parishes, it would be making every effort to educate the faithful on how the diocese works and how all relevant financial and staffing information had been brought to the table before, during, and after the decisions. If the Archdiocese is unwilling to be more transparent and accountable, then it needs to understand that there are large numbers of the faithful who expect greater transparency and accountability in such minor matters as $450,000,000 real estate transactions. If the Archdiocese lacks experience in producing credible financial plans, it needs to know that there are many experienced business people in the Archdiocese who would be willing to assist. We did this informal statistical study because we hold the leaders of the Archdiocese of Boston accountable for their decisions -- whether they choose to acknowledge that responsibility or not.
  2. Lay involvement: One of many sobering truths that has come out of the clergy sex abuse scandal and hierarchical cover-up scandal is that we, the laity, must bear some indirect responsibility for what happened. Generations of Boston lay Catholics tolerated and subsidized Church institutions supportive of unChristian and criminal behaviors. If we, the laity, continue to tolerate these behaviors in the Church that we love, shame on us. The path toward demanding and obtaining greater involvement in the administrative workings of our Church begins with education --- understanding how the Archdiocese actually works and how its workings can be improved. We did this study in order to expand the amount of relevant information available to laypeople who wish to get educated in order to get involved. Information is power.

We hope that these studies contribute to these goals.

Why call this study informal?

We call these studies informal for two reasons:

  1. We are liturgical musicians and lectors and eucharistic ministers, not professional social scientists or statisticians. When it appeared that no one else would be diving into this area, we thought it better to give it our best shot than to wait for a more formal study to happen.
  2. We lack public data in key areas that would enable us to build as comprehensive a picture of Archdiocesan parishes as we all would like. We offer what we have.

What can we study statistically?

We are limited in our analysis to available public information.

Information we have ...

Information we do not have ...

  • Parish locations and reporting structures
  • Parish staff people (at least those in public directories)
  • Parish sacramental indexes
  • Town populations, racial mix, and mean household income
  • Ordination dates and estimated ages for ordained priests
  • Parish financial data (debt, solvency, assets, contributions)
  • Sunday attendance data for all parishes
  • Parish real estate assessments
  • Ethnic data for parishes and vicariates
  • Open bids on parish properties
  • Estimated repair or maintenance costs for parish structures
  • Parish demographics (age, race,
    gender, historical trends)
  • Parish volunteers
  • Demographics for the percentage of Catholics in a town

Although individual parishes have recently sent us a significant amount of data, we cannot use it without equivalent information from all other parishes in the Archdiocese.

To Table of Contents

C. Parish Suppressions and the RCAB Organization

In this section, we examine how the 2004 parish suppressions correlate to various levels of the RCAB organization, i.e. diocese, region, vicariate, and cluster.

Parish Suppressions Historically

The 2004 parish suppressions are not "normal" adjustments consistent with the way the Archdiocese has suppressed or merged parishes over the last 20 years (RCAB). As the following chart demonstrates, there were more parish suppressions in 2004 than in the previous 19 years.

In his March 11, 2000 address to the Convocation of Parishes, Cardinal Law set expectations that parish reconfiguration was all but over.

 

It would be my hope now that we could put the issue of parish reconfiguration, with the exception of those few instances where planning is in progress, behind us. From the beginning, it has been my attempt to situate reconfiguration within the wider context of planning for mission. By and large, this has been well understood. From time to time, however, there have been situations in which nervousness about the possibility of reconfiguration has paralyzed efforts at planning for mission. Now that we have dealt with the question of reconfiguration for the foreseeable future, it is time for all of us to be focused on the far more significant task of planning for mission. [RCAB]

 

What changed between March 2000 and December 2003 to require the suppression of 22% of the parishes in the Archdiocese?

Parish Suppressions and the Archdiocese

77 (22%) of the 357 RCAB parishes were suppressed and 4 were merged. The Archdiocese promised to create several "new" parishes possibly on sites of suppressed parishes, but specific implementation plans for these "new" or "renamed" parishes are unclear as of this writing. In this study we choose to measure suppressed parishes because suppressions are a more accurate indicator of the impact that Parish Reconfiguration has had on the Catholic faith community in the Boston area.

Parish Suppressions and RCAB Regions

RCAB is organized into five geographical regions: Central, Merrimack, North, South, and West. Each RCAB region has its own auxiliary bishop. The 2004 parish suppressions are distributed as follows across these regions.

Although 22% of the parishes in RCAB have been suppressed, the Archdiocese has announced no plan to reduce the number of administrative regions or auxiliary bishops.

Parish Suppressions and RCAB Vicariates

Each RCAB region has 4 or 5 vicariates, each run by a vicar. Apart from the Merrimack Region vicariates of Chelmsford, and Haverhill, each RCAB vicariate had two or more parishes suppressed.

Parish Suppressions by RCAB Cluster

Each RCAB vicariate is comprised of 15 to 20 smaller groupings of parishes called clusters. Although the names of the 80 RCAB clusters and the names of their member parishes are common knowledge in those clusters, it is interesting to note that RCAB does not identify clusters on its web site or refer to them in any of its official organizational literature that we can find. We used a survey done by the Boston Globe as the foundation for our classification of parishes into their respective clusters. Clusters seem to be impermanent, ad hoc structures. The number of parishes in each cluster varies greatly, from one to thirteen. In the earliest stages of the reconfiguration process, each parish in each cluster was directed to send five people (a pastor and four other people) to Phase I Reconfiguration meetings. These groups of clergy and laypeople from the parishes in each cluster were then instructed to identify at least one parish in their cluster for closure. This set three expectations:

Contrary to the expectations set at the cluster level, 43% (35) of the 80 or so clusters in the Archdiocese experienced no suppression of parishes. 35% of the clusters experienced only one suppression.

In effect, 78% (63) of the 80 or so RCAB clusters were not affected or lost one parish. We question whether the Archdiocese was forthright in its early statements about minimizing pain and anxiety across the Archdiocese if more than 40% of the clusters participating in the life boating exercises experienced no closure. The process should have exempted clusters which were not probable contributors to the list of suppressions.

6 of the 16 2-parish clusters had one parish suppressed. Clusters with 3 or 4 parishes experienced a higher percentage of single-parish suppressions. Clusters with 5+ parishes experienced 1, 2, or 3 suppressions within their clusters.

Parish Suppressions by Parish Type

There are three types of parishes in the Archdiocese:

In 2004, RCAB continued the trend of suppressing ethnic and university parishes in favor of territorial parishes.

By suppressing ethnic or university parishes disproportionately, the Archdiocese has further reduced the overall diversity of culture and expression available to the faithful.

To Table of Contents

D. Parish Suppressions and Massachusetts Communities

A parish is much more than its buildings and some dedicated staff people. It is a faith community living in a town and serving witness to that town. Parishes are the front lines in the apostolic mission of the Church; they bring Christ to immigrant towns and bedroom communities and fishing communities and inner cities. Diverse Catholic communities responding to the diverse needs of Massachusetts towns strengthen the Archdiocese. We analyze here the effects of the 2004 suppressions on that diversity of Catholic parish life.

Parish Suppressions and Massachusetts Towns

The most significant factor in determining whether a parish was a candidate for suppression was its status in its town. 69 of the 73 Massachusetts towns having only one Catholic parish were not affected by the 2004 suppressions. The 4 parishes suppressed in these one-parish communities will have their churches opened on weekends for worship. Maintaining at least one parish in every Massachusetts town seemed to be the highest-priority selection criteria.

The Archdiocese suppressed parishes in towns where there was some perceived redundancy of services or access. The towns with the largest number of parishes -- Boston (54), Lowell (13), Cambridge (10), and Quincy (8) -- got hammered. The distance between parishes in these towns is not great, making access to an alternative parish feasible. Towns with 6 or 7 parishes were affected less while towns with four parishes, for some reason, were affected dramatically (32%).

Parish Suppressions and Catholic Demographics

We can find no public information about the percentage of Catholics in particular Massachusetts towns. Although the Archdiocese cited changing Catholic demographics as one of the major reasons prompting its "reconfiguration" initiative, it has not released any demographic information either. We're all blocked without data.

Parish Suppressions and Town Populations

We examined whether the suppressions affected towns disproportionately on the basis of population density within that town. The more dense the population in a town, the less distance there is between parishes. The more urban the population, the more public transportation is available.

Based on 2000 US Census data on Massachusetts towns, it is clear that urban and metropolitan towns experienced a higher percentage of parish suppressions than suburban or rural towns. Given the low number of suppressions in rural Massachusetts communities (6%), we again question whether parishes in those towns should have been required to participate in the life boating exercises early in the reconfiguration process. Either the Archdiocese was not certain whether it would exempt rural towns or it was determined to have every parish participate in the game of Parish Survivors regardless of known exemptions.

Parishes and Mean Household Income Per Town

Without financial data on individual parishes, we cannot evaluate whether more affluent or less affluent parishes within a town or region were more likely to be suppressed. We do have 2000 US Census data on the mean household incomes for Massachusetts towns and we used that data to assess whether parishes in more affluent or less affluent towns were affected disproportionately.

We observe no significant variance based on mean household income. Low-income towns were hit a bit more while towns with a comfortable income were hit a bit less. Income was not a major criteria for closure.

Parish Suppressions and Racial Diversity

Without detailed information about the racial makeup of individual parishes, we cannot assess whether race played a role in determining whether Parish A or Parish B closed in a particular vicariate. Parishioners from several suppressed parishes believe that race did play a role at the town or vicariate level, but this cannot be substantiated statistically with the data that we have.

Using 2000 US Census data about the racial makeup of Massachusetts towns, we see mixed results for those towns having more than 20% minority populations. The following table of towns is sorted by the percentage of white residents.

Towns such as Boston, Lowell, Cambridge, and Quincy experienced a significantly higher percentage of suppressions whereas Brockton and Lynn had a lower percentage than the norm of 22%. Without demographic data on the percentage of Catholics in these communities with more than 20% minority populations, we cannot determine whether parish suppressions disproportionately affected minority Catholics. We may do some follow-up work in these towns if we can get reliable ethnic demographic data on particular voting districts.

Parish Structures as Historical Assets

In addition to serving the needs of Catholic faith communities, many Catholic churches are also historically significant assets to their towns and to the state. Generations of immigrant Catholics made contributions from their low wages to build architecturally significant churches, testimonials to their commitment to an enduring faith and enduring church community. Any church structure more than 50 years old is considered a possible historical asset by the Massachusetts Historical Commission and cannot be demolished without being reviewed by one or more local historical commissions.

Archbishop O'Malley cited the widespread state of disrepair of many of the older churches in Boston as one of the reasons for closing churches in Boston and across the Archdiocese. This statement created expectations that older parishes facing potentially large repair and maintenance expenses might be more likely candidates for suppression than those more modern churches with modest maintenance expenses. Quite the opposite seems to have happened.

59 (76%) of the 77 suppressed parishes were established in the 20th Century. The oldest parish structures, those established in the 19th Century, were not suppressed proportionately.

As a consequence of not closing our 19th-Century churches (only 13.3% suppressed), nearly three times as many church structures built in the first half of the 20th Century were suppressed. We have to generalize a bit here. Given the option to close an older, larger church structure or a less large, 20th-Century structure, they those the latter three times more often. Curiously, we also found that the samll number of churches constructed in the 1970s and 1980s were all suppressed. This would also suggest that churches designed according to Vatican II guidelines for modern worship spaces were more likely to be suppressed than those constructed according to pre-Vatican II guidelines. Don't dispose of those altar rails stored in the church basement!

To Table of Contents

E. Parish Suppressions and the Ordained Community

How has this round of closings affected the ordained priests and deacons in the Archdiocese?

Parish Suppressions and Pastors

This round of parish suppressions disproportionately affected diocesan pastors. As you might expect, the number of parishes suppressed equals the number of pastors and priest-administrators. Suppress a parish -- displace a pastor for other duties or retirement.

Parish Suppressions and Parochial Vicars

Parochial vicars (a.k.a. parish curates) are a different matter. Of the 77 parishes suppressed in this round, only 10 parishes had parochial vicars assigned. Holy Rosary (Lawrence) and Sacred Heart (Lowell) each had two parochial vicars according to the 2004 directory.

What does this tell us? If 22% of the 355 pastor/administrators were affected, one might expect to see 22% of the 157 parochial vicars affected as well. We see three, non-exclusive, possible explanations for the disproportionately low number of parochial vicars affected:

  1. Suppressing a parish with a pastor and a parochial vicar would not necessarily free up two priests to replace all the retiring pastors in the next few years. Not all parochial vicars are ready or qualified or willing to become pastors.
  2. The parishes large enough to warrant the assignment of a second priest (the parochial vicar) were not candidates for suppression. Size, or at least clerical staffing, mattered.
  3. A certain amount of gerrymandering may have been happening for years leading up to the 2004 suppressions. Parishes perceived by the Archdiocese, for whatever reason, to be candidates for closure did not receive parochial vicars or had them reassigned to other parishes.

All three of these possibilities may have been relevant.

Parish Suppressions and Priests-per-Parish

Clerical staffing (numbers of pastors and parochial vicars assigned to parishes) did play a significant role in decision-making. This is only logical, because maintaining a 1:1 pastor:parish ratio was the second-biggest problem that the Archdiocese needed to address (money being biggest). When we look at the number of parochial priests assigned to parishes and how they fared in this round of suppressions, it becomes clear that the Archdiocese was six times more likely to suppress a parish with less clerical infrastructure (one priest/pastor) over a parish with more clerical infrastructure (two or more parish priests).

67 of the 77 suppressed parishes had only one parochial priest assigned (the pastor/administrator). The 117 parishes with 2 parish priests were not affected significantly (7%). Only 2 (10%) of the 22 parishes with three parochial priests were suppressed. We suspect that Archdiocese needed to close all these one-priest parishes in order to replace (in the next few years) all the aging pastors in multi-priest parishes untouched by the 2004 suppressions. The larger, older parishes with (generally) older pastors were preserved; the smaller parishes with one priest (the pastor) got hammered.

Parish Suppressions and Parishes-per-Town

When we correlate the selection criteria of closing one-priest parishes with the criteria of preserving a Catholic parish in each town, we see a significant trend.

Massachusetts towns with one Catholic parish and, therefore, one pastor were virtually untouched by this round of parish suppressions. One-priest parishes in towns with multiple parishes bore the brunt of the closings. This makes sense. As we'll see in the next section, the Archdiocese desperately needs experienced pastors. Given a choice between closing one-priest parishes in one-parish towns and closing one-priest parishes in multi-parish towns, the Archdiocese chose the latter.

Parish Suppressions and the Aging Presbyterate

This round of parish suppressions in the Boston Archdiocese needs to be viewed in the larger context of an aging presbyterate. Statistics on the state of our ordained priests in the United States and in RCAB are not encouraging:

How does this information relate to the parish closings in Boston?

Using public data about the ordination dates of current pastors in the Archdiocese, we can make educated guesses about the chronological ages of our pastors. Grouping pastors into 5-year segments by ordination date and estimated age, it is evident that a significant number of pastors are in their 70s and will be retiring or leaving active ministry for medical reasons in the next ten years or so.

Of the 83 pastors who we can identify in the 2004 directory and safely estimate to be over 70 years old, 30 (36%) served in suppressed parishes. Although some of these displaced pastors may be transferred to other parishes, many will probably retire. This leaves at least 53 pastors aged 70+ working in open parishes. To replace all these senior pastors retiring in the next 5-10 years with experienced, younger pastors, the Archdiocese needed to close many otherwise-healthy parishes that happened to have a younger pastor. The Archdiocese needed a "reserve" of younger pastors to respond to the emergencies associated with supporting an aging presbyterate.

What does this tell us about future parish suppressions? Unless the Archdiocese fills its two seminaries with 150 men and eventually ordains 100 of those candidates, it will need to suppress another 50 parishes in 4-5 years to keep pace with the diminishing number of available pastors. Future parish suppressions seem inevitable as long as RCAB seeks to maintain its 1:1 pastor:parish staffing model.

Archbishop O'Malley hopes otherwise. He noted, "We hope this is it for a long while ... that is why we decided to carry on with a process that is this radical, hoping that from here on we’ll be able to plan, knowing what sites we have, and to make sure the entire archdiocese is covered with the pastoral care that it needs" (RCAB).

Parish Suppressions and the Priest Signers of the Cardinal Law Petition

Of the 58 priests who signed the petition asking Cardinal Law to resign in December 2002, 46 of them work or reside in Boston-area parishes. Statistically it cannot be proven that the Archdiocese disproportionately suppressed more parishes with petition signers than parishes without signers.

Parish Suppressions and Clerical Reassignments

What will happen to all the ordained clergy serving in suppressed parishes? The Parish Closing Manual Version 1.0 published by the Archdiocese of Boston in May 2004 provides guidance to pastors on what ordained clergy should expect.

Role Deployment Notes from the Parish Closing Manual
Pastors When your pastorate ends due the suppression of the parish, there are a variety of scenarios that might take place. . . . We will call you and schedule an individual meeting to discuss your future status, ministry and assignment and answer your personal questions.
Parochial Vicars If you are ending your assignment as a parochial vicar, you will receive a new assignment from the Archbishop through the Clergy Personnel Office. . . . You will be called as well to set up an appointment to discuss your future ministry and every effort will be made to address your personal concerns and issues.
Permanent Deacons If the Closing Parish has a Permanent Deacon, the Office of the Permanent Diaconate will work with him and the Clergy Personnel Office to receive a new assignment from the Archbishop.

The Parish Closing Manual offers no explicit guarantee that every parochial pastor, parochial vicar, and permanent deacon in a suppressed parish will receive a reassignment if he wishes to remain active in ministry. That said, everything in the Parish Closing Manual supports the assumption that all healthy parochial priests and deacons in the good graces of the Archdiocese can expect to be assigned to some other parish or institution in the Archdiocese.

To Table of Contents

F. Parish Suppressions and the Lay Community

Part III of our study will examine the far-reaching impact of these parish suppressions on the laity. We offer here some preliminary observations.

Parish Suppressions and the RCAB Sacramental Index

A diocese collects statistics on the number of sacraments performed in each parish and, using a formula, calculates a score for each parish. The formula is simple: a parish sacramental index = baptisms+(2 x weddings)+funerals. In the past, these sacramental scores were used by diocesan personnel committees to determine how many curates (parochial vicars) should be assigned to each parish. Although there are many problems associated with evaluating parishes by their sacramental score (index), it remains the only public, quantitative measure that we have for assessing the relative size and vitality of a parish.

In January 2004, the Archdiocese published the sacramental indexes for year 2003. Boston-area laypeople digested these with the same relish that they did Red Sox batting averages. In a March 19 Boston Pilot article, the Central Committee noted that "parish Mass counts and their sacramental indexes will be among the criteria the Central Committee will use when making their recommendations to the Archbishop." Releasing the 2003 sacramental index for parishes created the expectation that the Archdiocese might be applying objective, numerical criteria in its process of selecting parishes to be suppressed. To test whether the sacramental index did play a significant role, we sorted from highest to lowest the sacramental index scores for all 357 RCAB parishes -- from St. Michael's in North Andover (655) to Holy Trinity in Boston (14). We then divided the 357 scores into 10 equal tiles (groups) of 36 parishes each. We then tallied up the number of open and suppressed parishes in each of these tiles. This gives us a reasonably accurate picture of how suppressions were distributed across parishes with higher or lower sacramental index scores.

We conclude that the parish sacramental indexes published by the Archdiocese in January 2004 did not play a significant role in determining which parishes were selected for suppression. Although parishes in the lowest tiles were more likely to be suppressed than parishes in the higher tiles, there are still many parishes with low sacramental indexes in Tiles 8-10 still open and many other parishes with normal-to-high sacramental indexes in Tiles 2-7 suppressed. To examine how parish suppressions in four vicariates correlated to sacramental index scores in their respective vicariates, see Appendix 2. If sacramental indexes were primary criteria in choosing parishes for suppressions, several of the following parishes with high sacramental index scores should never have been considered for suppression, let alone suppressed.

Similarly, a more credible case for suppression could be made for the following open parishes with low scores.

More than six times as many indexed sacraments were performed at Saint Augustine's in South Boston (suppressed) as performed at Saint John the Baptist in Essex (open). This inconsistency has caused significant resentment amongst Catholics in suppressed parishes. If sacramental index is a reasonably fair measure of the pastoral vitality of a parish, then we should expect to see a higher correlation between low sacramental index scores and suppression.

Parish Suppressions and Parish Staff Laypeople

We do have some insight into the effects of the parish suppressions on non-ordained, parish staff people whose names and roles are published in the 2004 diocesan directory. It is critical to note that these annual publications are not intended by the Archdiocese to be a complete directory of all people involved in parish life -- the names of volunteers and other staff people (including teachers) were not listed. For each person listed in the directory, there may be several other part-time or full-time people working as paid employees or as volunteers. The following numbers, therefore, illustrate trends but do not represent the full impact of the parish suppressions on the livelihoods and ministries of laypeople working in suppressed parishes.

Based on the information that we do have, here's how the laypeople listed in the 2004 directory were affected by this round of suppressions.

Because so many of the suppressed one-priest parishes managed to fund at least a Director of Religious Education (DRE) and a music minister, these two roles seem to be affected disproportionately. It would be more accurate to conclude that larger, older parishes with more money to support laypeople in the roles of business manager, pastoral associate, or youth minister were not targeted by the Archdiocese so those roles were affected disproportionately lower. Parishes with a deeper staff infrastructure were preserved.

Parish Suppressions and Lay Reassignments

What will happen to all these unordained staff people serving in suppressed parishes? The Parish Closing Manual makes a distinction between a canonical assignment to a parish (for the ordained) and other forms of assignment to a parish (for the laity). Rev. Robert Connors addresses the ordained clergy in Tab 12 of the Parish Closing Manual.

  The difference in the process of transition for the clergy of a parish that will close from other staff members is your ordination and relationship to the Archbishop. When a parish is suppressed, the canonical assignment of the pastor, parochial vicar or deacon ends. The Clergy Personnel Office addresses the transition of all clergy and makes a recommendation to the Archbishop.

Reassignments for ordained clergy serving as staff at a suppressed parish are handled by canonical law, apparently, whereas reassignments for unordained laypeople serving as staff at a suppressed parish are handled as a RIF (reduction in force). Qualifying lay staff people receive the package -- 1-20 weeks of severance pay, unused vacation payout, and further financial assistance through a Transition Assistance Program. Lay staff people in good standing with the Personnel Office are placed on a preferential hiring list.

Role Deployment Notes from the Parish Closing Manual
Qualifying staff people During times of multiple reductions in force, such as parish reconfiguration, Human Resources will conduct a series of regional workshops to assist those searching for emplyment. These workshops will provide group and individual resume assistance, networking skills and interview training. . . . Pastors are expected to consider the preferential hiring list as vacancies occur.
Teachers Teachers whose positions have been eliminated . . . shall be placed on the preferential hiring lost of the Catholic School Office for a period of twelve (12) months. . . . Principals are expected to consider the preferential hiring list as vacancies occur.
Members of religious orders Whenever a member of a Religious Order has an assignment terminated as a result of a reduction in force and is not immediately placed in another assignment in support of the Archdiocese, that member's Order will receive ... a lump sum equal to four times the monthly stipend in effect at the time. Members of Religious Orders are not eligible for participation in the Transition Assistance Program.
Pastoral Associates During this time of parish closings it is inevitable that some Pastoral Associates will lose their positions. The Office for Pastoral Ministries is ready and eager to assist a Pastoral Associate in applying for a position in another parish.

Bishop Lennon noted that the Archdiocese was committed to assisting displaced staff people in finding new jobs, but did not get into specifics about what percentage of displaced staff people might expect to find jobs in the Archdiocese. He notes, "With regard to employees who will lose their positions due to reconfiguration, please know we are committed to helping them secure positions at parishes if at all possible or to assist them with finding other employment" (RCAB).

Parish Suppressions and Gender Discrimination

Based on our reading of the Parish Closing Manual, it would seem that the reassignment of all-male clergy is handled very differently than the reassignment of male and female lay staff people. Is this a form of gender discrimination?

We start by looking at the total number of men and women (listed in the 2004 directory) whose positions have been directly affected by a decision to suppress the parish in which they work.

Let's unpack the numbers and roles of men serving in parishes.

Of the staff people identified in the 2004 directory and immediately affected by this round of parish suppressions, 55% are men.

We need to go a bit beyond the term "affected." The ministry of all ordained parochial priests and deacons is interrupted pending some form of assured reassignment; the ministry of unordained male and female staff people is terminated pending possible rehiring. The livelihoods of all-male ordained clergy are not "displaced" by the 2004 parish suppressions. Based on this distinction, we zero out the numbers of ordained men in this table of "displaced" men and women.

Yes, some of the displaced unordained men and displaced unordained women may eventually find work elsewhere in this diocese, but it is unlikely that they will be reassigned systematically or automatically. Once we remove the ordained men working in suppressed parishes, it appears that a truly disproportionate number of women will be displaced by the parish suppressions.

This double standard in treating parish staff people may be perfectly legal for all we know, but it certainly is not fair. Gender exclusion in Roman Catholic ordained ministry seems to foster a certain amount of gender discrimination in these circumstances.

Parish Suppressions and Voice of the Faithful (VOTF)

Did the Archdiocese target VOTF parishes? Statistically there was a higher probability that a VOTF parish affiliate or VOTF area affiliate would be suppressed than any parish that had no VOTF affiliation.

Although it is unlikely that VOTF affiliation played any role in making first cuts through the lists of parishes, there is evidence to suggest that being the sort of parish that supported VOTF Catholics hurt in the final deliberations. The Archdiocese used a profile to exempt certain parishes and to move the remaining parishes onto the short list for Final Jeopardy. It exempted (for all practical purposes) any parish that was the only parish in a town and any parish that had more than one parochial priest.

Of the 14 VOTF parish affiliates that were in multi-parish towns and had only one parish priest, seven (50%) were suppressed.

The eighth VOTF parish affiliate to be suppressed missed the profile only because it had two parish priests.

Of these eight suppressed VOTF parish affiliates, five also had pastors who signed the petition encouraging Cardinal Law to seek an alternative ministry. VOTF parish affiliates in one-parish towns or with one parish priest were not targeted. VOTF parish affiliates in multi-parish towns with one parish priest got hammered (50%).

Parish Suppressions and Parochial Schools

Parochial schools are perceived to be critical to Catholic infrastructure. If your parish had a parochial school, it was far less likely to be suppressed than any parishes without a parochial school.

Parish staffing, parish facilities (big traditional churches), and parochial schools constituted the main components of what we call "Catholic parish infrastructure" in the Archdiocese.

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G. RCAB Parish Futures

As painful as the 2004 parish suppressions are to all Catholics in the Archdiocese of Boston, they do offer a rare opportunity for analysis. When a diocese suppresses or merges one or two parishes every couple of years, it is difficult to infer its motivations. The sampling of data is too small. When RCAB suppresses 77 parishes, we have more than enough data to extrapolate some general principles and patterns from their decisions. We have the rare opportunity to examine what they do in addition to what they say. From their decisions we can reconstruct their functional priorities and, indirectly, their vision of the diocese in the 21st Century.

Here's where the Archdiocese is not going ...

Based on the decisions made by the Archdiocese in this round of parish suppressions, it is unlikely that the following will be future priorities:

Here's where the Archdiocese is going ...

Implementation proceeds from vision. Vision proceeds from values and priorities. Here's what this statistical study of Archdiocesan decisions about parish suppressions has suggested about Archdiocesan values and priorities.

No surprises here. Read the Boston Pilot or watch EWTN TV or watch Boston Catholic Television. Try to understand where the decision makers are really coming from -- that uniquely Catholic siege mentality -- the forces of darkness and anti-Catholicism are attacking the Catholic order in America so the caretakers of that order need to shrink the defensive perimeter and muster the troops for a final stand. Future generations of orthodox Catholics are counting on the current leadership to do whatever needs to be done -- however painful -- to safeguard the current order and to extract sufficient assets from real estate sales to fund a comeback when the time is right. Suppressing 22% of our parishes is painful, but it is also logical and necessary given a seige mentality.

Moving forward: The new model for parishes ...

Let's indulge in some speculation about the near future. In the aftermath of this round of suppressions, we should expect to see further consolidation of this new Archdiocesan vision at the parish level.

If every parish sent one young man to the seminary every 10 years, we’d have more than enough vocations. [Archbishop O.Malley, 5/25/04 as quoted in Boston Pilot 05/28/04

 

In this new paradigm, the division of responsibilities will be clear.

It is a simple model and a clean model ... at least for some Catholics.

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H. Trends Under Investigation

Our analysis to date suggests that there are some clear trends. Read into these what you will.

Your parish was less likely to be suppressed if it ...

Your parish was more likely to be suppressed if it ...


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I. What have we learned?

Although we have focused primarily on the dynamics of Archdiocesan decision-making in this part of our study, we recognize that in the end we have learned more about the laity and the media than we have about the hierarchy.

The Boston Laity

To the extent that the US Church had never experienced a round of parish suppressions of this scope and celerity, the laity was not prepared to respond to it -- emotionally, legally, or organizationally. In Part III of our study, we will have more comprehensive data about the effects of the suppressions of parish laypeople and staff.

We have no statistical data to quantify the reactions of the 2,000,000 Boston-area Catholics, so we offer these general observations based on our attending dozens of meetings at parishes during the last six months. Laypeople achieved no consensus on the suppressions and reacted to the "reconfiguration" in a variety of ways:

If the Archdiocese was betting that effective resistance to the reconfiguration process would be too little and too late to stop it, they were correct. In retrospect, it is clear that the laity in a diocese need to be educated and organized and empowered before a bishop announces one of these "reconfiguration" or "evangelization" initiatives. Documenting what laypeople can do in their diocese to prepare for these suppressions will be one of the topics in Part III of our study.

Boston Media

The Boston-area media (print, TV, radio) did a good job in covering the story of the 2004 parish suppressions. The editors and producers who were veterans of covering two years of the clergy sex abuse scandal saw the "reconfiguration" process for what it was. Many of them were practicing Catholics in parishes fearful about closure or ex-Catholics skeptical about the motives of the Archdiocese. Their coverage followed the high points of the story:

Although the Boston media was sympathetic and supportive, it could not keep the issue on the front page or at the top of the news hour without sustained and substantive response from the laity being affected by the parish suppressions. The laity was not sufficiently organized until late in the process to take advantage of supportive media.

No discussion of the media coverage of the parish closings would be complete without looking at the official Archdiocesan weekly newspaper, the Boston Pilot. Given that Archbishop O'Malley is the publisher of the Pilot, it would be unrealistic to expect that its editors would seek to evaluate the reconfiguration process from any perspective outside the party line. Although the Pilot did not provide unbiased coverage, we commend it nevertheless for three things:

The Boston Hierarchy

Again, we did not learn much that was surprising about the clerical hierarchy. This branch diocese of the Roman Church has been remarkably consistent in its execution of the values, perceptions, judgments, and behaviors articulated in Rome. This model for clamping down on the American Church may have been implemented first in Boston, but it is probably coming soon to other US dioceses. Bishop Richard Malone of the diocese of Portland Maine, until recently an Auxiliary Bishop for Archbishop O'Malley in the South Region of RCAB, announced a "New Evangelization" initiative that will result in reconfiguring (suppressing?) as many as 35 of its 138 parishes. Many smaller parishes will be reconfigured (suppressed?) in order to build a new class of super-parishes called "Canonical Parishes." The guidelines for developing these super-parishes in Portland conform to the trends that we have identified here in Boston.

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J. Conclusion

Statistics can go only so far. The final (and perhaps ultimate) motivation for suppressing so many Boston parishes in so short a time is really political and emotional -- punishing Boston Catholics for their lack of obedience. Thousands of uppity laypeople, dozens of uppity priests, scores of C